Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Hartman 45.0% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.4%
Defensive zone
Brown 86.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 68.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Brown
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brown
Hartman
Last 5: Brown 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Brown
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
2
1
Brown
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
44.8% (4,023)
+11.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
47.1% (412)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
42.5% (261)
+5.3%
On power play, Brown has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Brown shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,276).
Home / Away
Brown
Hartman
Home
57.4% (364)
46.3% (2,446)
Away
53.6% (506)
43.4% (2,250)
By Period
Brown
Hartman
P1
51.4%
45.2%
P2
54.6%
43.2%
P3
58.8%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |