Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Jost 40.5% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 62.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 95.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 88.6%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Brown
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Brown
Jost
Last 6: Brown 5-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
1
Brown
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
3
0
Brown
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
41.0% (1,977)
+15.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
34.7% (72)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
34.9% (249)
+12.9%
On power play, Brown has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Jost is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Brown
Jost
Home
57.4% (364)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
53.6% (506)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
Brown
Jost
P1
51.4%
38.5%
P2
54.6%
41.2%
P3
58.8%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |