Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Rask 50.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 75.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 90.9%
Neutral zone
Brown 62.3%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Brown
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Brown
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
50.0% (4,428)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.3% (363)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
35.2% (54)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Brown
Rask
Home
57.4% (364)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
53.6% (506)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Brown
Rask
P1
51.4%
50.7%
P2
54.6%
48.9%
P3
58.8%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |