Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (35.9% vs 35.3%). Fast wins 32.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dwyer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fast 39.8% vs Dwyer 38.5% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Fast 55.8%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 57.5%
Neutral zone
Dwyer 51.8%
Result
Patrick Dwyer favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Fast
Dwyer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fast
Dwyer
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (171)
36.1% (313)
+4.3%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
33.3% (15)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
28.2% (85)
28.6% (28)
-0.4%
On power play, Dwyer has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dwyer shoots right. Fast is 32.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Fast shoots right. Dwyer is 34.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Fast
Dwyer
Home
39.2% (130)
36.8% (163)
Away
32.6% (132)
34.0% (194)
By Period
Fast
Dwyer
P1
32.4%
36.7%
P2
40.0%
30.8%
P3
35.5%
39.8%
Final 5 min
43.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fast
46.0%▲
38.5%
35.9%
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%