Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dwyer wins 32.7% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dwyer 38.5% vs Weiss 53.6% (-20.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dwyer 51.3%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 50.4%
Neutral zone
Weiss 51.6%
Result
Patrick Dwyer favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dwyer
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dwyer
Weiss
Last 5: Dwyer 2-3 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dwyer
2
0
Dwyer
Weiss
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
3
Dwyer
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dwyer
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (221)
53.3% (942)
-18.5%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
56.1% (212)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
55.9% (93)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Dwyer is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Dwyer shoots right. Weiss is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Dwyer
Weiss
Home
30.8% (91)
55.1% (680)
Away
35.4% (147)
52.4% (599)
By Period
Dwyer
Weiss
P1
36.4%
53.1%
P2
30.4%
57.4%
P3
34.8%
51.1%
Final 5 min
35.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
33.6%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |