Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kane shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Kane 48.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 85.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 51.6%
Neutral zone
Kane 78.6%
Result
Patrick Kane favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Barzal
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barzal
Kane
Last 7: Barzal 6-1 Kane
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Kane
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
0
Barzal
Kane
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
33.3% (15)
+9.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
50.0% (2)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Barzal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Barzal shoots right. Kane is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Barzal
Kane
Home
44.3% (436)
60.0% (5)
Away
40.7% (398)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Barzal
Kane
P1
39.7%
50.0%
P2
44.3%
50.0%
P3
44.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrick Kane |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |