Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.9% vs Kane 43.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 86.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 80.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Duchene
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Duchene
Kane
Last 6: Duchene 5-1 Kane
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
0
Duchene
Kane
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Kane
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (357)
41.1% (525)
+9.9%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
50.0% (36)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Duchene shoots left. Kane is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kane
Home
51.0% (208)
43.4% (288)
Away
51.4% (183)
40.9% (281)
By Period
Duchene
Kane
P1
53.3%
46.9%
P2
53.4%
38.6%
P3
44.6%
41.5%
OT
66.7%
26.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |