Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kane wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 39.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-19.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 97.4%
Defensive zone
Kane 79.7%
Neutral zone
Kane 88.2%
Result
Patrick Kane favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Kane
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kane
Gaustad
Last 8: Kane 1-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kane
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
5
Kane
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Kane
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (669)
58.2% (4,334)
-20.2%
Power Play
34.0% (97)
65.4% (188)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
54.8% (1,290)
+16.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kane is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Kane shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Kane
Gaustad
Home
39.1% (384)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
36.7% (392)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Kane
Gaustad
P1
41.9%
58.2%
P2
33.5%
56.4%
P3
38.8%
58.3%
OT
30.4%
66.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
37.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |