Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Kane wins 34.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 39.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kane 95.5%
Defensive zone
Kane 77.0%
Neutral zone
Kane 94.6%
Result
Patrick Kane favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Kane
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Kane
Kesler
Last 10: Kane 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Kane
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
9
Kane
Kesler
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kane
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (669)
56.4% (8,095)
-18.4%
Power Play
34.0% (97)
60.7% (1,437)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
50.5% (1,908)
+20.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kane is 34.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Kane shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Kane
Kesler
Home
39.1% (384)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
36.7% (392)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Kane
Kesler
P1
41.9%
56.5%
P2
33.5%
55.9%
P3
38.8%
56.1%
OT
30.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
37.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |