Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Kane wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 43.3% vs Kesler 53.3% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kane 86.7%
Defensive zone
Kane 89.4%
Neutral zone
Kane 89.7%
Result
Patrick Kane favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Kane
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Kane
Kesler
Last 10: Kane 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Kane
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
7
Kane
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
3
2
Kane
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (525)
53.8% (981)
-12.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
56.9% (160)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
49.2% (185)
+30.8%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kane is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Kane shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Kane
Kesler
Home
43.4% (288)
54.1% (690)
Away
40.9% (281)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Kane
Kesler
P1
46.9%
52.3%
P2
38.6%
52.8%
P3
41.5%
56.3%
OT
26.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
42.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |