Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Marleau 50.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Lowry
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Marleau
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Lowry
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Lowry
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
49.0% (437)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
70.6% (34)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
53.7% (54)
-8.9%
On power play, Marleau has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Marleau is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Lowry
Marleau
Home
49.9% (393)
55.1% (234)
Away
43.1% (452)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Lowry
Marleau
P1
45.1%
56.3%
P2
44.8%
48.5%
P3
49.1%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |