Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyes wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Marleau 52.1% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 63.2%
Defensive zone
Marleau 87.0%
Neutral zone
Marleau 82.7%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Boyes
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyes
Marleau
Last 5: Boyes 4-1 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
4
0
Boyes
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Boyes
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
50.9% (350)
-8.8%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
64.8% (54)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
51.4% (142)
-1.4%
On power play, Marleau has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Boyes is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Boyes shoots right. Marleau is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Boyes
Marleau
Home
45.7% (164)
54.3% (289)
Away
39.1% (156)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Boyes
Marleau
P1
47.5%
53.3%
P2
39.5%
53.3%
P3
39.4%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
32.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |