Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Marleau 48.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 63.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.8%
Neutral zone
Marleau 59.3%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Coyle
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Marleau
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
47.6% (288)
-1.0%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
52.9% (34)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
47.1% (34)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Marleau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Coyle
Marleau
Home
50.4% (367)
52.8% (125)
Away
42.5% (351)
45.5% (231)
By Period
Coyle
Marleau
P1
46.8%
49.6%
P2
47.9%
50.0%
P3
45.9%
46.5%
OT
14.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |