Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Brière wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Marleau 52.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 80.0%
Defensive zone
Brière 52.6%
Neutral zone
Brière 62.1%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Brière
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brière
Marleau
Last 5: Brière 1-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
4
Brière
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
50.9% (350)
-4.0%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
64.8% (54)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
51.4% (142)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Brière is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Brière shoots right. Marleau is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Brière
Marleau
Home
49.2% (427)
54.3% (289)
Away
47.1% (393)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Brière
Marleau
P1
48.2%
53.3%
P2
49.5%
53.3%
P3
46.7%
50.5%
OT
42.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |