Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Marleau 47.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 78.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 75.9%
Neutral zone
Marleau 50.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Grant
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Grant
Marleau
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Grant
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
1
Grant
Marleau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
4
Grant
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
46.0% (274)
+8.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
57.1% (14)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
58.3% (12)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Grant shoots left. Marleau is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Grant
Marleau
Home
51.5% (266)
46.9% (209)
Away
50.7% (300)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Grant
Marleau
P1
48.3%
51.0%
P2
52.2%
47.1%
P3
52.8%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |