Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Marleau 51.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Roy
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Roy
Marleau
Last 6: Roy 1-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Roy
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Roy
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
50.1% (347)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
51.2% (41)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
61.1% (72)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Roy
Marleau
Home
52.4% (683)
54.8% (263)
Away
48.6% (646)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Roy
Marleau
P1
48.3%
53.9%
P2
49.5%
47.5%
P3
53.9%
56.8%
OT
48.4%
14.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |