Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brodziak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Marleau 52.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 67.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 80.6%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 68.2%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Brodziak
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Brodziak
Marleau
Last 5: Brodziak 0-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Brodziak
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
4
Brodziak
Marleau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
56.4% (234)
-7.2%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
60.0% (10)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
39.1% (64)
+1.5%
On power play, Brodziak has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Brodziak shoots right. Marleau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Marleau
Home
49.6% (593)
52.7% (167)
Away
47.0% (630)
53.2% (141)
By Period
Brodziak
Marleau
P1
48.2%
51.5%
P2
46.3%
51.2%
P3
51.3%
55.9%
OT
23.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |