Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.2%). Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.8% vs Marleau 50.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 78.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 75.5%
Neutral zone
Marleau 54.4%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Brodziak
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brodziak
Marleau
Last 5: Brodziak 1-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Brodziak
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Brodziak
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (631)
52.6% (152)
+0.8%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
45.8% (48)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (121)
66.7% (3)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Brodziak shoots right. Marleau is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Marleau
Home
53.9% (410)
50.8% (122)
Away
49.9% (357)
51.9% (81)
By Period
Brodziak
Marleau
P1
53.2%
47.5%
P2
56.1%
55.4%
P3
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |