Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Marleau 52.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.3%
Defensive zone
Marleau 82.3%
Neutral zone
Marleau 63.6%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Duchene
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Duchene
Marleau
Last 6: Duchene 5-1 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
50.9% (350)
-0.4%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
64.8% (54)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
51.4% (142)
-1.4%
On power play, Marleau has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Marleau is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Duchene
Marleau
Home
49.8% (633)
54.3% (289)
Away
51.1% (613)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Duchene
Marleau
P1
51.0%
53.3%
P2
51.5%
53.3%
P3
49.1%
50.5%
OT
36.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |