Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Marleau 50.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 62.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Bjugstad
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Bjugstad
Marleau
Last 7: Bjugstad 1-6 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Bjugstad
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Bjugstad
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (467)
52.6% (152)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.4% (58)
45.8% (48)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
66.7% (3)
-6.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Bjugstad shoots right. Marleau is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Marleau
Home
49.0% (261)
50.8% (122)
Away
49.8% (269)
51.9% (81)
By Period
Bjugstad
Marleau
P1
50.9%
47.5%
P2
50.5%
55.4%
P3
47.2%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |