Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.8% vs Marleau 51.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 69.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 72.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 68.9%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Jokinen
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jokinen
Marleau
Last 5: Jokinen 1-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
3
Jokinen
Marleau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Jokinen
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,017)
50.1% (347)
-3.3%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
51.2% (41)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
61.1% (72)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Jokinen shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Marleau
Home
47.1% (652)
54.8% (263)
Away
46.0% (681)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Jokinen
Marleau
P1
43.8%
53.9%
P2
49.5%
47.5%
P3
44.6%
56.8%
OT
68.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |