Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 53.1%). Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marleau wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 52.1% vs Stastny 53.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 83.4%
Defensive zone
Marleau 52.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Marleau
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Marleau
Stastny
Last 8: Marleau 6-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
1
Marleau
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
0
Marleau
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (350)
52.2% (1,107)
-1.3%
Power Play
64.8% (54)
61.0% (254)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (142)
46.4% (138)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Marleau is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Marleau shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Marleau
Stastny
Home
54.3% (289)
52.5% (785)
Away
50.4% (260)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Marleau
Stastny
P1
53.3%
51.3%
P2
53.3%
55.2%
P3
50.5%
52.6%
OT
58.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |