Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 51.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 57.9%
Defensive zone
Marleau 67.0%
Neutral zone
Marleau 60.7%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Marleau
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Marleau
Stastny
Last 6: Marleau 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Marleau
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
0
Marleau
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Marleau
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (347)
55.0% (1,136)
-4.9%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
57.5% (200)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
53.1% (64)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Marleau shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Marleau
Stastny
Home
54.8% (263)
58.5% (744)
Away
48.5% (204)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Marleau
Stastny
P1
53.9%
57.9%
P2
47.5%
54.9%
P3
56.8%
53.0%
OT
14.3%
72.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |