Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Marleau wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 47.8% vs Hartman 43.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 81.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.1%
Neutral zone
Marleau 69.5%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Marleau
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Marleau
Hartman
Last 10: Marleau 8-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
0
Marleau
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Marleau
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
5
1
Marleau
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (274)
40.9% (413)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
53.6% (28)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
38.9% (36)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Marleau is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Marleau shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Marleau
Hartman
Home
46.9% (209)
46.2% (249)
Away
47.3% (91)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Marleau
Hartman
P1
51.0%
45.4%
P2
47.1%
39.1%
P3
43.8%
40.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |