Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Marleau wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 52.1% vs Kesler 57.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 76.4%
Defensive zone
Marleau 77.3%
Neutral zone
Marleau 77.2%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Marleau
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Marleau
Kesler
Last 10: Marleau 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
8
Marleau
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
1
Marleau
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Marleau
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (350)
57.3% (1,022)
-6.4%
Power Play
64.8% (54)
61.5% (200)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (142)
54.9% (257)
-3.5%
On even strength, Kesler has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Marleau is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Marleau shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Marleau
Kesler
Home
54.3% (289)
58.6% (766)
Away
50.4% (260)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Marleau
Kesler
P1
53.3%
58.9%
P2
53.3%
56.8%
P3
50.5%
57.5%
OT
58.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |