Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 48.5% vs Kesler 56.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 82.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 64.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Marleau
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Marleau
Kesler
Last 6: Marleau 4-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
0
Marleau
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (288)
57.4% (1,185)
-9.8%
Power Play
52.9% (34)
58.0% (243)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
49.2% (236)
-2.1%
On even strength, Kesler has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Marleau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Marleau shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Marleau
Kesler
Home
52.8% (125)
58.5% (793)
Away
45.5% (231)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Marleau
Kesler
P1
49.6%
57.0%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
46.5%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
41.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |