Patrick Marleau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marleau wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 52.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 80.2%
Defensive zone
Marleau 56.1%
Neutral zone
Marleau 69.5%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Marleau 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
0
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
0
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (184)
45.0% (1,011)
+6.6%
Power Play
64.3% (28)
46.7% (135)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
31.1% (122)
+35.6%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Marleau is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Marleau shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.0% (105)
43.8% (625)
Away
48.2% (110)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Marleau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.7%
47.8%
P2
45.6%
39.5%
P3
55.8%
44.2%
OT
40.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
64.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
53.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |