Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marleau wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 50.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 71.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 67.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Marleau
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Marleau
Crosby
Last 6: Marleau 4-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
1
Marleau
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
0
Marleau
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (152)
54.7% (1,423)
-2.1%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
62.1% (327)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
40.8% (76)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Marleau is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Marleau shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Marleau
Crosby
Home
50.8% (122)
56.2% (907)
Away
51.9% (81)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Marleau
Crosby
P1
47.5%
55.7%
P2
55.4%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
54.9%
OT
66.7%
70.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |