Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marleau wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 52.1% vs Zajac 54.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 88.6%
Defensive zone
Zajac 63.6%
Neutral zone
Zajac 67.8%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Marleau
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Marleau
Zajac
Last 8: Marleau 7-1 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
0
Marleau
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
0
Marleau
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (350)
53.9% (958)
-3.0%
Power Play
64.8% (54)
67.1% (146)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (142)
52.5% (139)
-1.1%
On even strength, Zajac has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Marleau is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Marleau shoots left. Zajac is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Marleau
Zajac
Home
54.3% (289)
55.5% (627)
Away
50.4% (260)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Marleau
Zajac
P1
53.3%
51.7%
P2
53.3%
58.5%
P3
50.5%
56.0%
OT
58.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |