Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marleau wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 51.6% vs Zajac 50.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 64.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 71.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 62.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Marleau
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Marleau
Zajac
Last 8: Marleau 6-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
0
Marleau
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
1
Marleau
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Marleau
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
50.8% (775)
+3.0%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
61.5% (117)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
45.0% (202)
-7.5%
On power play, Zajac has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Marleau is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Marleau shoots left. Zajac is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Marleau
Zajac
Home
60.4% (111)
52.2% (536)
Away
47.4% (190)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Marleau
Zajac
P1
54.7%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
50.9%
P3
49.2%
48.7%
OT
80.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |