Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Sharp 48.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 58.1%
Defensive zone
Smithson 95.7%
Neutral zone
Smithson 87.8%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Smithson
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Smithson
Sharp
Last 6: Smithson 5-1 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
1
Smithson
Sharp
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Sharp
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Sharp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
48.4% (442)
+11.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
45.7% (35)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
43.3% (30)
+5.7%
On even strength, Smithson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Smithson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Smithson shoots right. Sharp is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Smithson
Sharp
Home
59.2% (534)
51.2% (242)
Away
55.5% (472)
45.1% (266)
By Period
Smithson
Sharp
P1
56.1%
49.7%
P2
58.0%
46.5%
P3
58.6%
47.9%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:02 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |