Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sharp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.1% vs Sharp 48.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 76.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 62.3%
Neutral zone
Sharp 58.7%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Koivu
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Koivu
Sharp
Last 5: Koivu 1-4 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
4
Koivu
Sharp
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Sharp
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (802)
47.7% (239)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.0% (198)
52.2% (46)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (105)
20.0% (5)
+29.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Koivu is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Koivu shoots left. Sharp is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sharp
Home
54.6% (584)
53.6% (151)
Away
49.7% (539)
41.4% (140)
By Period
Koivu
Sharp
P1
50.7%
46.9%
P2
51.1%
46.2%
P3
54.4%
48.4%
OT
57.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |