Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Sharp wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sharp 48.3% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 92.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.7%
Neutral zone
Sharp 64.6%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Sharp
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Sharp
Gaustad
Last 9: Sharp 2-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
2
0
Sharp
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Sharp
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Sharp
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sharp
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (239)
57.8% (854)
-10.1%
Power Play
52.2% (46)
56.0% (25)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
55.1% (263)
-35.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Sharp is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Sharp shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Sharp
Gaustad
Home
53.6% (151)
61.3% (633)
Away
41.4% (140)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Sharp
Gaustad
P1
46.9%
57.9%
P2
46.2%
55.3%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
OT
66.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
39.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
47.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |