Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sharp 50.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Sharp 91.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.4%
Neutral zone
Sharp 79.2%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Sharp
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Sharp
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sharp 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
6
3
Sharp
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Sharp
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
6
Sharp
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sharp
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,085)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.6% (180)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
51.4% (2,811)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sharp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Sharp shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Sharp
O'Reilly
Home
53.2% (688)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.7% (623)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Sharp
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
55.6%
P2
49.1%
57.0%
P3
51.7%
55.1%
OT
62.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | OT | 03:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |