Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 42.9% vs Berglund 46.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 56.4%
Defensive zone
Berglund 69.0%
Neutral zone
Berglund 65.8%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Ryan
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ryan
Berglund
Last 7: Ryan 4-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Ryan
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (160)
47.3% (792)
-6.0%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
42.5% (134)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
42.4% (33)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Ryan is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Ryan shoots right. Berglund is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Ryan
Berglund
Home
38.4% (138)
46.8% (477)
Away
42.0% (81)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Ryan
Berglund
P1
33.7%
47.1%
P2
40.3%
46.3%
P3
49.2%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
32.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |