Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Berglund 48.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 58.9%
Defensive zone
Berglund 60.1%
Neutral zone
Berglund 59.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Richards
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Richards
Berglund
Last 6: Richards 0-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Richards
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Richards
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Richards
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
48.3% (895)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
50.4% (141)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
48.3% (120)
+3.1%
On even strength, Richards has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Richards
Berglund
Home
52.2% (668)
50.9% (593)
Away
51.4% (648)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Richards
Berglund
P1
50.1%
50.9%
P2
52.4%
45.3%
P3
52.9%
50.8%
OT
52.4%
39.1%
Final 5 min
47.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |