Scouting Report
Brandon Pirri holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pirri wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 55.4% vs Berglund 50.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 63.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 78.5%
Neutral zone
Berglund 59.0%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Pirri
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pirri
Berglund
Last 6: Pirri 1-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Pirri
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Pirri
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (194)
50.5% (982)
+8.8%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
55.7% (79)
-4.7%
On even strength, Pirri has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Pirri is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Pirri shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Pirri
Berglund
Home
57.4% (129)
50.7% (548)
Away
57.9% (114)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Pirri
Berglund
P1
64.2%
49.6%
P2
51.2%
50.5%
P3
57.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
62.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.6%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |