Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Berglund 48.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 57.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.0%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
O'Reilly
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Reilly
Berglund
Last 6: O'Reilly 3-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
O'Reilly
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Berglund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
48.3% (895)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
50.4% (141)
-2.1%
On even strength, Berglund has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Berglund
Home
50.9% (112)
50.9% (593)
Away
40.4% (156)
46.1% (575)
By Period
O'Reilly
Berglund
P1
56.5%
50.9%
P2
40.4%
45.3%
P3
36.3%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
35.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |