Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Berglund 46.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 61.7%
Defensive zone
Dowell 55.1%
Neutral zone
Berglund 53.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Dowell
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dowell
Berglund
Last 5: Dowell 1-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Dowell
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Dowell
Berglund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
47.3% (792)
+2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
42.5% (134)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
42.4% (33)
+1.4%
On power play, Berglund has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Dowell shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Dowell
Berglund
Home
52.5% (303)
46.8% (477)
Away
45.8% (349)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Dowell
Berglund
P1
49.5%
47.1%
P2
47.0%
46.3%
P3
50.7%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |