Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.2% vs Berglund 48.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 54.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 59.8%
Neutral zone
Berglund 53.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Iginla
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Iginla
Berglund
Last 7: Iginla 2-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
2
1
Iginla
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
4
Iginla
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (307)
48.3% (895)
+3.2%
Power Play
45.4% (108)
50.4% (141)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
48.3% (120)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Iginla is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Iginla shoots right. Berglund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Iginla
Berglund
Home
53.0% (217)
50.9% (593)
Away
47.4% (209)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Iginla
Berglund
P1
53.1%
50.9%
P2
48.6%
45.3%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
OT
38.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |