Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Franzen wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 46.2% vs Berglund 48.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 56.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 77.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 71.8%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Franzen
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Franzen
Berglund
Last 8: Franzen 5-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
3
0
Franzen
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
3
Franzen
Berglund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (142)
48.3% (895)
-3.9%
Power Play
44.1% (34)
50.4% (141)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.3% (120)
+1.7%
On power play, Berglund has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Franzen is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Franzen shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Franzen
Berglund
Home
45.3% (95)
50.9% (593)
Away
42.9% (84)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Franzen
Berglund
P1
44.1%
50.9%
P2
51.7%
45.3%
P3
36.5%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |