Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Berglund 48.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 52.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 65.4%
Neutral zone
Berglund 55.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Tavares
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Tavares
Berglund
Last 5: Tavares 0-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Tavares
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Tavares
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
48.3% (895)
+3.2%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
50.4% (141)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
48.3% (120)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Tavares
Berglund
Home
52.8% (781)
50.9% (593)
Away
49.9% (804)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Tavares
Berglund
P1
52.8%
50.9%
P2
52.1%
45.3%
P3
48.7%
50.8%
OT
63.6%
39.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |