Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.6%). Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Brodziak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Berglund 47.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 72.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 75.6%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 54.1%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Brodziak
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Brodziak
Berglund
Last 10: Brodziak 4-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
6
Brodziak
Berglund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Brodziak
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
47.7% (641)
+1.5%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
59.7% (67)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
36.0% (75)
+4.6%
On power play, Brodziak has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Brodziak shoots right. Berglund is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Berglund
Home
49.6% (593)
50.2% (422)
Away
47.0% (630)
44.6% (361)
By Period
Brodziak
Berglund
P1
48.2%
43.8%
P2
46.3%
46.3%
P3
51.3%
53.1%
OT
23.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |