Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Turris wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.8% vs Berglund 50.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 82.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 53.7%
Neutral zone
Turris 61.0%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Turris
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Turris
Berglund
Last 7: Turris 5-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Berglund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
0
Turris
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Turris
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (942)
50.5% (982)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.9% (226)
55.7% (79)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (57)
40.7% (108)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Turris shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Turris
Berglund
Home
56.3% (627)
50.7% (548)
Away
49.7% (598)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Turris
Berglund
P1
50.4%
49.6%
P2
53.9%
50.5%
P3
54.9%
49.6%
OT
53.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |