Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 49.3% vs Berglund 50.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 80.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 68.1%
Neutral zone
Berglund 55.0%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Kruger
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kruger
Berglund
Last 6: Kruger 4-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
1
Kruger
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kruger
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (348)
50.4% (240)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
38.5% (13)
+61.5%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (125)
54.2% (24)
-19.0%
On power play, Kruger has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Kruger is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kruger shoots left. Berglund is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Kruger
Berglund
Home
52.4% (212)
51.8% (114)
Away
46.6% (262)
49.1% (163)
By Period
Kruger
Berglund
P1
40.1%
48.4%
P2
53.6%
50.6%
P3
54.6%
52.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |