Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.5% vs Berglund 46.6% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 72.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 62.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 75.5%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Cullen
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cullen
Berglund
Last 7: Cullen 2-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Cullen
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Cullen
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
1
Cullen
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (652)
47.3% (792)
+7.8%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
42.5% (134)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (99)
42.4% (33)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Cullen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Cullen shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Cullen
Berglund
Home
55.3% (421)
46.8% (477)
Away
56.9% (422)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Cullen
Berglund
P1
54.4%
47.1%
P2
57.3%
46.3%
P3
56.6%
45.4%
OT
57.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |