Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Richards wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Berglund 47.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 85.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 80.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 81.5%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Richards
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
16
(21 meetings)
5
16
Richards
Berglund
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
5
Richards
Berglund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
4
Richards
Berglund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
7
Richards
Berglund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
47.7% (641)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
59.7% (67)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
36.0% (75)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Richards shoots left. Berglund is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Richards
Berglund
Home
57.0% (444)
50.2% (422)
Away
51.0% (463)
44.6% (361)
By Period
Richards
Berglund
P1
53.4%
43.8%
P2
55.8%
46.3%
P3
51.9%
53.1%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |