Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.1% vs Berglund 50.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 78.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 66.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Bjugstad
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bjugstad
Berglund
Last 5: Bjugstad 2-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Bjugstad
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Bjugstad
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (340)
50.5% (982)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.0% (50)
55.7% (79)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.7% (108)
-40.7%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Bjugstad shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Berglund
Home
49.4% (237)
50.7% (548)
Away
44.8% (154)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Bjugstad
Berglund
P1
46.4%
49.6%
P2
50.4%
50.5%
P3
45.6%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |