Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.3%). Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Berglund 46.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 56.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 52.9%
Neutral zone
Berglund 54.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Bonino
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bonino
Berglund
Last 5: Bonino 3-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Bonino
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (246)
46.3% (490)
+2.1%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
52.4% (63)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
38.0% (50)
+3.2%
On power play, Berglund has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Bonino is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Bonino shoots left. Berglund is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Bonino
Berglund
Home
53.3% (122)
49.8% (295)
Away
42.2% (173)
42.9% (308)
By Period
Bonino
Berglund
P1
48.4%
47.5%
P2
44.3%
46.4%
P3
47.2%
45.7%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |