Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.5%). Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sharp wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sharp 48.3% vs Berglund 48.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sharp 77.1%
Defensive zone
Berglund 75.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 52.5%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Sharp
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Sharp
Berglund
Last 10: Sharp 4-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
2
0
Sharp
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
4
Sharp
Berglund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Sharp
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sharp
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (239)
48.3% (895)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.2% (46)
50.4% (141)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.3% (120)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Sharp is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Sharp shoots right. Berglund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Sharp
Berglund
Home
53.6% (151)
50.9% (593)
Away
41.4% (140)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Sharp
Berglund
P1
46.9%
50.9%
P2
46.2%
45.3%
P3
48.4%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
39.1%
Final 5 min
39.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
47.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |